国际货币基金组织(IMF)10月12日发布最新一期《世界经济展望报告》,预计2021年全球经济增长率为5.9%,较7月份预测值下调0.1个百分点。同时,IMF预计中国经济今年将增长8%,也较7月份预测值下调0.1个百分点。
"The downward revision for 2021 reflects a downgrade for advanced economies - in part due to supply disruptions - and for low-income developing countries, largely due to worsening pandemic dynamics," the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook released on Tuesday.
报告指出,下调今年全球经济增长预期,主要反映了发达经济体在供应链中断影响下增长放缓,以及低收入发展中经济体因疫情形势恶化导致经济增幅收窄。
Fueled by the highly transmissible Delta variant, the recorded global COVID-19 death toll has risen close to 5 million, and health risks abound, holding back a full return to normalcy, IMF Economic Counsellor Gita Gopinath said.
IMF首席经济学家吉塔·戈皮纳特表示,德尔塔毒株肆虐,新冠病例死亡总人数逼近500万,健康风险无处不在,成为横在全面复苏道路上的障碍。
"Pandemic outbreaks in critical links of global supply chains have resulted in longer than expected supply disruptions, feeding inflation in many countries," she continued.
与此同时,疫情多点暴发,殃及处于全球供应链关键环节的国家和地区,致使供应链紊乱长于此前预期,进一步抬高部分国家的通胀。