Day 37 Ten years ago, as part of a comprehensive urban renewal program, the city of Transopolis adapted for industrial use alarge area of severely substandard housing near the freeway

The following appeared in a recommendation from the planning department of the city of Transopolis.

“Ten years ago, as part of a comprehensive urban renewal program, the city of Transopolis adapted for industrial use a large area of severely substandard housing near the freeway. Subsequently, several factories were constructed there, crime rates in the area declined, and property tax revenues for the entire city increased. To further revitalize the city, we should now take similar action in a declining residential area on the opposite side of the city. Since some houses and apartments in existing nearby neighborhoods are currently unoccupied, alternate housing for those displaced by this action will be readily available.”

Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.

五问：

（1）“Ten years ago, as part of a comprehensive urban renewal program, the city of Transopolis adapted for industrial use a large area of severely substandard housing near the freeway. Subsequently, several factories were constructed there, crime rates in the area declined, and property tax revenues for the entire city increased”和“some houses and apartments in existing nearby neighborhoods are currently unoccupied”是事实，倒数第二句话“To further revitalize the city, we should now take similar action in a declining residential area on the opposite side of the city”是结论，值得反驳吗？

（2）原文中的第一句话“ Ten years ago, as part of a comprehensive urban renewal program, the city of Transopolis adapted for industrial use a large area of severely substandard housing near the freeway”与第二句话“ Subsequently, several factories were constructed there, crime rates in the area declined, and property tax revenues for the entire city increased”之间的因果关系成立吗？二者是唯一的因果关系吗？你能想出其他也会导致同样结果的原因吗？当地警方加强巡逻监管也会使犯罪率下降，全市财产税的增加可能是因为该市其他地区的企业缴税增加了。

（3）文中是否给出了地区间的差异比较？同一项政策能够简单地在两个不同地区取得相同的成果吗？为什么不能？我们应当考虑哪些因素？例如：另一地区的人口素质低、法律意识薄弱，即使改造成工业区也不会使犯罪率下降；或者因地理位置、交通不便，不适合建工厂；建工厂也不一定能使财产税增加。

（4）十年前的措施还适用于现在吗？过去的情况和现在一致吗？请回顾前面讲过的时间轴论证错误。

（5）这一措施将促使现有居民寻找新的住所，但周围有住房就意味着居民一定能够轻松地入住吗？难道不需要考虑居住习惯、价格等诸多因素吗？