大学英语综合教程学生用书 Surveys,Surveys and More Surveys
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    [00:00.00] Surveys,Surveys and More Surveys

    [00:06.48]In the United States,

    [00:10.55]there's a widespread belief that statistics don't lie.

    [00:17.79]Perhaps that's why surveys are such an important part of American life.

    [00:26.54]For many years,politicians,businesspeople,

    [00:32.71]and scholars have used surveys to find out more about that mysterious

    [00:41.35]and complicated creature,the human being.

    [00:46.60]American newspapers and magazines have been taking

    [00:53.05]public opinion polls since the 1800s.

    [00:58.51]In the 1930s,poll experts such as Elmo Poper and George Gallup

    [01:06.56]began using scientific methods

    [01:11.52]to select and interview participants in political surveys.

    [01:18.47]Since the 1940s,American businesspeople have been developing,

    [01:25.92]naming,packaging,and promoting products with the help of surveys.

    [01:33.78]And also since the 1940s,

    [01:38.72]surveys have been a major research tool

    [01:43.97]among scholars in the social sciences

    [01:49.82]Psychologists and sociologists have asked people about everything

    [01:57.58]from their religious beliefs to their sexual behavior.

    [02:03.74]The mass media have frequently reported the results of these surveys,

    [02:11.29]and the American public has always been quite interested in the responses.

    [02:19.23]However,the most complete and most important survey

    [02:25.29]for Americans is the national census.

    [02:30.94]A census is official count of the number of people living in a city,

    [02:39.09]state,or country.

    [02:42.53]The idea of a census has existed for more than two thousand years.

    [02:51.18]In ancient Rome,the government counted its citizens

    [02:57.42]for purposes of taxation and military service.

    [03:03.07]But the first modern census began here in the United States in 1790.

    [03:11.90]In that year,the population of the new nation was 3 929 214.

    [03:23.55]Since 1790,the American government has taken a census every ten years,

    [03:32.11]and the population has been growing steadily every decade.

    [03:38.57]The 1980 census reported a population of 226 504 825.

    [03:51.11]In addition to statistics on the total population,

    [03:57.06]the 1980 census has given us a great deal of information

    [04:03.72]about recent changes in American life.

    [04:09.36]One of the many important changes concerns where people live.

    [04:16.42]American are still a mainly urban people with about 75 percent

    [04:24.57]of the population living in or near large cities.

    [04:31.33]But,sice 1970,the small communities have been gaining population

    [04:38.39]at a faster rate than the cities or suburbs.

    [04:44.73]Americans have been moving back to the small twons and the rural areas.

    [04:52.49]This is a dramatic change from the trend in preceding decades.

    [05:00.54]Americans have always done a great deal of moving

    [05:06.18]from one part of the country to another,

    [05:10.65]but,in recent years,the moves have been mostly to the Suth and West.

    [05:18.09]States in the "Sun Belt"have been gaining population,

    [05:24.44]and states in the Northeast and the Midwest have been losing population.

    [05:32.49]Marriage and family life hav been changing,too.

    [05:38.91]Americans have been marrying later,

    [05:44.06]having fewer children,getting more divorces,

    [05:49.41]and living more often as singles of as unmarried couples.

    [05:56.15]The actual number of married couples has risen in recent years,

    [06:04.12]but the percentage of married people has declined.

    [06:10.57]Similarly,the number of actual births has gone up,

    [06:17.21]but the size fo the average family has gone down.

    [06:22.96]The average young wonam of today plants to have only two children.

    [06:30.90]Along with many other surveys,the national census gives Americans

    [06:38.73]a statistical picture of a changing society.

    [06:45.37]It allows the government and the people to see

    [06:51.22]what's happening and to adjust to the new picture.

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